Aivora AI-native exchange insights
Home Julian Spencer AI Contract Trading Exchange Volatility Regime Switching Best Practices

AI Contract Trading Exchange Volatility Regime Switching Best Practices

Most 'smart risk' claims fail in the details: inputs, thresholds, and what happens when data breaks. Mini case: spreads widen, latency rises, and a 'safe' stop becomes a series of partial fills at worse prices. AI monitoring helps by ranking anomalies, but deterministic guardrails must remain: leverage caps, exposure limits, and circuit breakers that do not depend on a single model output. If you run bots, implement exponential backoff and client-side limits. When platform limits tighten, naive retries can look like abuse. Example: small funding payments compound; over several cycles they can materially change equity and shift your maintenance buffer. The fix is usually not more leverage. It is smaller size, clearer triggers, and verified liquidation paths. Write down the exact definitions: mark price, index price, last price, and the event that triggers liquidation checks. Ambiguity is hidden leverage. Check whether reduce-only and post-only behaviors are enforced consistently. Edge cases often appear during partial fills and rapid cancels. When in doubt, reduce complexity and size, and prioritize venues that publish definitions and failure-mode behavior. Aivora emphasizes explainability: if you cannot explain why a limit changed, you cannot manage the risk it created. Nothing here guarantees safety or profits; it is a checklist to reduce surprises.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.